Matrix Science Mathematic (MSMK)

MODELING THE VOLATILITY FOR SOME SELECTED BEVERAGES STOCK RETURNS IN NIGERIA (2012-2021): A GARCH MODEL APPROACH

November 11, 2022 Posted by Natasha In MSMK

ABSTRACT

MODELING THE VOLATILITY FOR SOME SELECTED BEVERAGES STOCK RETURNS IN NIGERIA (2012-2021): A GARCH MODEL APPROACH

Journal: Matrix Science Mathematic (MSMK)
Author: Tanimu Mohammed, Yahaya Haruna Umar, Samuel Olorunfemi Adams

This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License CC BY 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

DOI: 10.26480/msmk.02.2022.41.51

The volatility of equity returns for two beverages traded on the Nigerian stock exchange is the subject of this study. The ARCH effect test demonstrated that the two beverages disprove the claim that there is no ARCH effect. According to the preliminary analysis, both beverages were volatile. CGARCH and EGARCH were chosen as the best volatility models for Guinness Nigeria Plc returns and Nigeria Breweries returns, respectively, based on model selection criteria. The EGARCH model, on the other hand, rejected the idea that Guinness Nigeria Plc’s equity returns respond equally to negative and positive shocks of similar magnitude. This study’s findings suggest that the government should be cautious about how it manages inflation and foreign direct investment because they affect the rising stock price. Financial stability will likely be a more direct and explicit part of the macroeconomic responsibilities of central banks in the coming years.
Pages 41-51
Year 2022
Issue 2
Volume 6

Download